RESEARCH HISTORY
How the views have changed.
The original reports, later updates and the evidence behind each change in view.
0 website publications · 7 original papers
| Research / asset | Direction | Original date | Current view | Thesis updates | Research links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Oil Market UpdateCOMMODITIES · Crude oil, inventories & refined products | Bearish crude; inventory confirmation pending | 12 OCT 2026 | Original source view | 0 | 3 in commodities2 evidence links |
| AI Infrastructure Is Moving From an Adoption Cycle Into a Utilization CycleEQUITIES · Cloud & hyperscalers | Positive demand thesis; conditional returns | OCT 2026 | Original source view | 0 | 4 in equities2 evidence links |
| The Energy Peak, Refining Normalization and the Next Major Repricing in Global BondsCOMMODITIES · Oil, refining margins & global rates | Energy normalization; conditional rates repricing | 30 SEPT 2026 | UnchangedEditorial review · | 1 | 3 in commodities4 evidence links |
| Main Full-Risk PortfolioEQUITIES · Main full-risk portfolio | Long portfolio | 25 SEPT 2026 | UnchangedEditorial review · | 1 | 4 in equities3 evidence links |
| AI Compute to 2030: Scarcity Migrates, It Does Not DisappearEQUITIES · AI infrastructure & platforms | Selective thematic framework | 08 AUG 2026 | StrengthenedEditorial review · | 1 | 4 in equities3 evidence links |
| The week uncertainty clearsEQUITIES · Nasdaq / QQQ event window | Conditional bottom | 26 JUL 2026 | Original source view | 0 | 4 in equities2 evidence links |
| Gold's bear market is real; the macro turn is not yet hereCOMMODITIES · Gold, bullion ETFs & gold equities | Near-term downside; await confirmation | 17 JUL 2026 | UnchangedEditorial review · | 1 | 3 in commodities2 evidence links |
How to read this history. Reports appear in their asset-class timeline as they are published. Related papers can provide useful evidence; sharing a category does not change a thesis. Original dates come from the PDFs, and earlier website availability has not been independently verified. The October paper gives a month only. Reviews use their actual dates and do not record trades.
UPDATING A VIEW
What changed, and why.
Updates explain which evidence changed the view and which assumptions still hold. Closed and invalidated theses remain in the history.
Read the methodologyRESEARCH AND PERFORMANCE
Research and the planned model.
Each original paper links to a review of what can be measured and the risks involved. The planned model portfolio will record its instruments, allocations and execution rules separately.
View performance